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Can Democrats Turn the Health Debate to Their Advantage?

April 28, 2011 | 12:58 p.m.
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Republicans are coming in for some heat over Rep. Paul Ryan's proposed changes to the health care law.

Do you think they'll be able to turn it to their advantage? Or will Republicans keep the momentum on this one?

Answers:
Robert D. Reischauer, President
The Urban Institut
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Even sensible reforms to Medicare are easy to demagogue; the nonsensical ones proposed in the Ryan Budget Resolution have handed the issue to the Democrats on a platter. While Ryan's request for a CBO analysis of his proposal was a responsible step to take, the report provides enough ammunition to sink the proposal several times over. Possibly the coming kerfuffle over the debt ceiling will shift attention away from the Ryan's Medicare proposal and onto the larger challenges.

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April 28, 2011 4:20 PM

Poll: Voters Oppose Ryan Proposal

By Bruce Lesley

A poll released earlier this week answers the question directly and reveals strong public support for protecting federal investments in health care, including Medicare but also Medicaid and the Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

Key findings from the survey include:

• Voters believe children in America fare poorly. By a margin of 58-20 percent, or by almost a 3:1 margin, a majority of voters believe that the lives of children in America have gotten worse rather than better in the last ten years, including a quarter (26 percent) who believe children’s lives have gotten much worse. Republican voters are the most concerned, as they believe the lives of children are worse by a margin of 62-16 percent, an almost 4:1 margin.

• Voters strongly oppose the $771 billion billion in proposed cuts to Medicaid and the funding shortfall created in the Chi...

A poll released earlier this week answers the question directly and reveals strong public support for protecting federal investments in health care, including Medicare but also Medicaid and the Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

Key findings from the survey include:

• Voters believe children in America fare poorly. By a margin of 58-20 percent, or by almost a 3:1 margin, a majority of voters believe that the lives of children in America have gotten worse rather than better in the last ten years, including a quarter (26 percent) who believe children’s lives have gotten much worse. Republican voters are the most concerned, as they believe the lives of children are worse by a margin of 62-16 percent, an almost 4:1 margin.

• Voters strongly oppose the $771 billion billion in proposed cuts to Medicaid and the funding shortfall created in the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) included in the House Budget Committee proposal. By a 70-27 percent margin, the majority of American voters oppose the cuts to Medicaid and, by a 73-23 percent margin, Americans oppose the proposed cuts to CHIP (51 percent strongly oppose). This includes opposition to the Medicaid and CHIP cuts by margins of 66-30 percent and 67-26 percent, respectively, in Republican congressional districts. Voters also oppose, by a 2:1 margin, a plan to provide governors more flexibility if it meant eliminating insurance coverage for some children (31 percent favor, 63 percent oppose).

• Cutting programs is not the only option. Voters support other options for reducing the deficit. A 72 percent majority describe eliminating loopholes and federal subsidies to corporations as acceptable, 63 percent accept eliminating the Bush tax cuts for families earning over $250,000 a year, and 64 percent oppose the Ryan plan to lower the top tax bracket by a third. Furthermore, when presented with a range of suggestions for dealing with the deficit, voters support raising taxes on those earning over $1 million a year rather than cutting important programs by a 72-21 percent margin.

• When provided context, voters oppose the House Budget Committee proposal. Less than half of voters (45 percent) support a “proposed budget for the next 10 years that will cut 6.2 trillion from the federal budget deficit.” When provided a fuller and fair description of the details of the plan, support sinks, 37 percent favor, 56 percent oppose.

The telephone survey, completed during the period of April 13-18, 2011, was commissioned by First Focus and conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, using a national probability sample of 1,023 likely 2012 voters. In order to better reflect the changing lifestyle of the voting population, the survey also includes a sample of 114 cell phone interviews. The survey’s margin of error is +/- 3.10 points at 95 percent confidence interval.

Click here to download the poll results and a summary of key findings from the survey.

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